Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Estoril Praia | 5 | 2 | 7 |
10 | Sporting Lisbon | 5 | 0 | 7 |
11 | Arouca | 5 | -8 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Porto | 5 | 8 | 12 |
4 | Portimonense | 5 | 5 | 12 |
5 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 6 | 0 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Portimonense |
71.38% ( -0.01) | 17.36% ( -0.03) | 11.25% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.5% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.06% ( 0.27) | 39.93% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.7% ( 0.28) | 62.29% ( -0.28) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.08% ( 0.07) | 9.91% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.17% ( 0.16) | 32.83% ( -0.15) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.94% ( 0.26) | 45.06% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.02% ( 0.2) | 80.98% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Portimonense |
2-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.31% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.59% Total : 71.38% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 17.36% | 0-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.42% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 11.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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