Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Pacos de Ferreira1 - 1Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 2-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, September 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Arouca
While Pacos de Ferreira have endured a horrid start to the campaign, we are backing them to take the positives from their performance against Santa Clara when they face an Arouca side who have suffered a slump in form. We are tipping the Pacenses to extend their dominance over the visitors and pick up their first win of the season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Arouca |
40.33% ( -0.56) | 28.1% ( -0.09) | 31.58% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 46.83% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
