MX23RW : Sunday, February 2 03:11:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Arouca

Casa Pia
0 - 0
Arouca


Baro (65'), Fernandes (90+1')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Casa Pia
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-6 Braga
Sunday, August 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-1 Arouca

Casa Pia have enjoyed a fine start to their top-flight campaign and this has been owing to the solid job done at the defensive end of the pitch. Arouca, meanwhile, will be looking to regroup and get their season back on track following their disappointing loss against Braga. We predict a cagey affair at the National Sports Center of Jamor, with both sides settling for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawArouca
41.66% (1.624 1.62) 28.48% (0.359 0.36) 29.86% (-1.988 -1.99)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-1.699 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.07% (-1.783 -1.78)60.93% (1.779 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.06% (-1.356 -1.36)80.94% (1.354 1.35)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (0.051000000000002 0.05)28.83% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (0.066000000000003 0.07)64.69% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.45% (-2.435 -2.44)36.55% (2.433 2.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.66% (-2.535 -2.54)73.34% (2.532 2.53)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 41.65%
    Arouca 29.85%
    Draw 28.47%
Casa PiaDrawArouca
1-0 @ 13.1% (0.87 0.87)
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.15% (0.552 0.55)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.233 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 41.65%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.53% (0.675 0.67)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.266 -0.27)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.47%
0-1 @ 10.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.438 -0.44)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.361 -0.36)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.309 -0.31)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.19 -0.19)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 29.85%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Arouca

Casa Pia
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Arouca
0.0%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2011272321235
6Casa Pia208662625130
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes207853025529
8Estoril PraiaEstoril207672431-727
9FamalicaoFamalicao205962224-224
10MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
11Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
12Gil Vicente205782330-722
13AroucaArouca2064101831-1322
14Nacional2054111728-1119
15AVS203981529-1418
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista2026121334-2112


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