MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 21:05:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Arouca

Casa Pia
0 - 0
Arouca


Baro (65'), Fernandes (90+1')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Casa Pia
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-6 Braga
Sunday, August 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-1 Arouca

Casa Pia have enjoyed a fine start to their top-flight campaign and this has been owing to the solid job done at the defensive end of the pitch. Arouca, meanwhile, will be looking to regroup and get their season back on track following their disappointing loss against Braga. We predict a cagey affair at the National Sports Center of Jamor, with both sides settling for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawArouca
41.66% (1.624 1.62) 28.48% (0.359 0.36) 29.86% (-1.988 -1.99)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-1.699 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.07% (-1.783 -1.78)60.93% (1.779 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.06% (-1.356 -1.36)80.94% (1.354 1.35)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (0.051000000000002 0.05)28.83% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (0.066000000000003 0.07)64.69% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.45% (-2.435 -2.44)36.55% (2.433 2.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.66% (-2.535 -2.54)73.34% (2.532 2.53)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 41.65%
    Arouca 29.85%
    Draw 28.47%
Casa PiaDrawArouca
1-0 @ 13.1% (0.87 0.87)
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.15% (0.552 0.55)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.233 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 41.65%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.53% (0.675 0.67)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.266 -0.27)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.47%
0-1 @ 10.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.438 -0.44)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.361 -0.36)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.309 -0.31)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.19 -0.19)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 29.85%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Arouca

Casa Pia
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Arouca
0.0%
7
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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