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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
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Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal
Belenenses

Arouca
0 - 0
Belenenses


Esgaio (24'), Simao (54')
FT

Akas (84'), Camara (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

Last Six:
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Belenenses

Last Six:
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 1-1 Belenenses

 While a draw seals Arouca's safety, Belenenses need all three points to move into the relegation playoffs spot and keep their slender survival hopes alive. We predict a cagey affair with the Arouquenses doing just enough to force a share of the spoils and confirm O Belem's relegation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AroucaDrawBelenenses
45.96% (-0.769 -0.77) 26.73% (0.181 0.18) 27.31% (0.591 0.59)
Both teams to score 48.61% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.15% (-0.33 -0.33)55.85% (0.33 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.03% (-0.269 -0.27)76.97% (0.271 0.27)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.74% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)24.26% (0.512 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.38% (-0.73 -0.73)58.62% (0.73 0.73)
Belenenses Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.18% (0.308 0.31)35.82% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.4% (0.314 0.31)72.6% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 45.95%
    Belenenses 27.31%
    Draw 26.73%
AroucaDrawBelenenses
1-0 @ 12.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 45.95%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.69% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 8.92% (0.186 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 27.31%

Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 8.30pm
Belenenses
2-1
Arouca
Varela (73'), Camara (90+3')
Phete (11'), Sithole (45+2'), Sousa (53'), Calila (57'), Nuno (65'), Safira (70'), Tavares (86')
Phete (18')
Dabbagh (37')
Nunes (43'), Dabbagh (59')
Silva (6'), Dabbagh (76')
Feb 27, 2017 8pm
Arouca
1-2
Belenenses
Tomane (38')
Tomane (31'), Bolat (42'), Santos (62'), Velasquez (89')
Maurides (53', 58')
Silva (28'), Gomes (33')
Sep 26, 2016 8pm
Belenenses
1-1
Arouca
Camara (15')
Gomes (70'), Rosell (80')
Kuca (50')
Adilson (29'), Miguel Prata Coelho (35')
Feb 21, 2016 4pm
Belenenses
0-2
Arouca

Bakic (45'), Nunes (79'), Aguilar (90')
Rafael (80')
Gonzalez (66'), Lima (82')
Jubal (35'), Adilson (45'), Mateus (55'), Bastos (74')
Jubal (39'), Mateus (84')
Sep 27, 2015 5pm
Arouca
2-2
Belenenses
Valente (76'), Basto (86')
Roberto (91')
Sousa (41'), Leal (71')
Leal (75'), Ventura (82'), Silva (85'), Tonel (95')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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