Portimonense' form heading into Saturday's game is nothing to write home about as they have failed to win any of their 12 games this year. Like the visitors, Belenenses have also struggled for form, picking up just two wins from their most recent 17 games in all competitions.
However, O Belem are unbeaten in each of their last six home games against the visitors, claiming four wins and two draws, and we predict they will keep this run going and come away with all three points, albeit by a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 48.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 25.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Belenenses would win this match.
