Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Boavista | 34 | -13 | 38 |
10 | Portimonense | 34 | -14 | 38 |
11 | Pacos de Ferreira | 34 | -15 | 38 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
21.6% | 23.07% | 55.33% |
Both teams to score 53.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.98% | 46.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.67% | 68.33% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.52% | 35.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.76% | 72.24% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.51% | 16.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.79% | 46.2% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 6.06% 2-1 @ 5.66% 2-0 @ 3.14% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.76% 3-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.93% Total : 21.6% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 0-0 @ 5.85% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.06% | 0-1 @ 10.54% 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-2 @ 9.5% 1-3 @ 5.92% 0-3 @ 5.71% 2-3 @ 3.07% 1-4 @ 2.67% 0-4 @ 2.57% 2-4 @ 1.38% 1-5 @ 0.96% 0-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.24% Total : 55.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 38 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
3 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
14 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
15 | Nacional | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 13 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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