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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 7, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Porto

Benfica
0 - 1
Porto


Dias (16'), Ramos (24'), Nunez (53'), Lazaro (62'), Almeida (71'), Otamendi (71'), Mario (82'), Weigl (84'), Yaremchuk (90'), Gilberto (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sanusi (90+4')
Grujic (30'), Pepe (40'), Taremi (79'), Costa (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

Last Six:
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

Last Six:
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

We said: Benfica 1-2 Porto

 Saturday's game sees two of the Portuguese "Big Three" go head to head and this makes for a thrilling and exciting watch. Porto are unbeaten in each of their last eight games against the hosts and we predict they will keep this fine run going and come away with a slender victory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Benfica has a probability of 35.91% and a draw has a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline is Benfica 1-1 Porto with a probability of 11.3% and the second most likely scoreline is Benfica 1-2 Porto with a probability of 8.64%.

Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Benfica win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawPorto
35.91%24.41%39.68%
Both teams to score 59.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.02%42.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.62%65.38%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37%23.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28%57.72%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3%21.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15%54.85%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 35.91%
    Porto 39.68%
    Draw 24.41%
BenficaDrawPorto
2-1 @ 8.15%
1-0 @ 7.4%
2-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 35.91%
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-1 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 5.99%
1-3 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 3.05%
1-4 @ 1.68%
2-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 39.68%

How you voted: Benfica vs Porto

Benfica
28.2%
Draw
24.4%
Porto
47.4%
78
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2021 9pm
Porto
3-1
Benfica
Vieira (34'), Pepe (37'), Taremi (69')
Cardoso (30'), Pepe (51'), Martinez (90+1')
Yaremchuk (46')
Almeida (8'), Vertonghen (25'), Goncalves (90+3'), Gilberto (90+5')
Almeida (49')
May 6, 2021 6.30pm
Benfica
1-1
Porto
Everton (23')
Weigl (31'), Verissimo (58'), Silva (60'), Leite (71'), Gabriel (81'), Pizzi (81'), Seferovic (83'), Goncalves (89')
Uribe (75')
Oliveira (15'), Pepe (64'), Mbemba (81')
Jan 15, 2021 9pm
Porto
1-1
Benfica
Taremi (25')
Pepe (51'), Corona (64'), Marega (73'), Marchesin (90+5')
Taremi (73')
Grimaldo (17')
Pizzi (50'), Tavares (54'), Chiquinho (78'), Vertonghen (84')
Dec 23, 2020 8.45pm
Porto
2-0
Benfica
Oliveira (25' pen.), Diaz (90')
Pepe (36'), Oliveira (53'), Mbemba (58')

Weigl (30'), Seferovic (90+3')
Aug 1, 2020 8.45pm
Benfica
1-2
Porto
Vinicius (84' pen.)
Dias (12'), Jardel (44'), Weigl (46'), Vinicius (75')
Mbemba (47', 58')
Diaz (9'), Telles (90')
Diaz (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon18142251143744
2Benfica18132342113141
3Porto18131441142740
4Braga18104431191234
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1810172019131
6Casa Pia187652222027
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes186842824426
8MoreirenseMoreirense186572225-323
9Gil Vicente185762227-522
10Estoril PraiaEstoril185672130-921
11FamalicaoFamalicao184862024-420
12Rio AveRio Ave185581831-1320
13Nacional185491624-819
14Estrela Amadora1844101630-1416
15AroucaArouca1844101530-1516
16SC FarenseFarense183691123-1215
17AVS182971427-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1826101329-1612
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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