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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 7, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Porto

Benfica
0 - 1
Porto


Dias (16'), Ramos (24'), Nunez (53'), Lazaro (62'), Almeida (71'), Otamendi (71'), Mario (82'), Weigl (84'), Yaremchuk (90'), Gilberto (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sanusi (90+4')
Grujic (30'), Pepe (40'), Taremi (79'), Costa (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

Last Six:
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Friday, May 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

Last Six:
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

We said: Benfica 1-2 Porto

 Saturday's game sees two of the Portuguese "Big Three" go head to head and this makes for a thrilling and exciting watch. Porto are unbeaten in each of their last eight games against the hosts and we predict they will keep this fine run going and come away with a slender victory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Benfica has a probability of 35.91% and a draw has a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline is Benfica 1-1 Porto with a probability of 11.3% and the second most likely scoreline is Benfica 1-2 Porto with a probability of 8.64%.

Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Benfica win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawPorto
35.91%24.41%39.68%
Both teams to score 59.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.02%42.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.62%65.38%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37%23.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28%57.72%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3%21.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.15%54.85%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 35.91%
    Porto 39.68%
    Draw 24.41%
BenficaDrawPorto
2-1 @ 8.15%
1-0 @ 7.4%
2-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 35.91%
1-1 @ 11.3%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-1 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 5.99%
1-3 @ 4.4%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 3.05%
1-4 @ 1.68%
2-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 39.68%

How you voted: Benfica vs Porto

Benfica
28.2%
Draw
24.4%
Porto
47.4%
78
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2021 9pm
Porto
3-1
Benfica
Vieira (34'), Pepe (37'), Taremi (69')
Cardoso (30'), Pepe (51'), Martinez (90+1')
Yaremchuk (46')
Almeida (8'), Vertonghen (25'), Goncalves (90+3'), Gilberto (90+5')
Almeida (49')
May 6, 2021 6.30pm
Benfica
1-1
Porto
Everton (23')
Weigl (31'), Verissimo (58'), Silva (60'), Leite (71'), Gabriel (81'), Pizzi (81'), Seferovic (83'), Goncalves (89')
Uribe (75')
Oliveira (15'), Pepe (64'), Mbemba (81')
Jan 15, 2021 9pm
Porto
1-1
Benfica
Taremi (25')
Pepe (51'), Corona (64'), Marega (73'), Marchesin (90+5')
Taremi (73')
Grimaldo (17')
Pizzi (50'), Tavares (54'), Chiquinho (78'), Vertonghen (84')
Dec 23, 2020 8.45pm
Porto
2-0
Benfica
Oliveira (25' pen.), Diaz (90')
Pepe (36'), Oliveira (53'), Mbemba (58')

Weigl (30'), Seferovic (90+3')
Aug 1, 2020 8.45pm
Benfica
1-2
Porto
Vinicius (84' pen.)
Dias (12'), Jardel (44'), Weigl (46'), Vinicius (75')
Mbemba (47', 58')
Diaz (9'), Telles (90')
Diaz (38')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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