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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 23, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Estoril

Benfica
vs.
Estoril

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Benfica
Thursday, December 19 at 5pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, December 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We say: Benfica 3-1 Estoril Praia

Benfica have beaten Estoril in the previous eight corresponding Liga fixtures at Estadio da Luz, and that pattern should continue in gameweek 15. Although the Canaries have netted in four of their previous five visits, the Reds' superior technical quality should see the hosts continue this term's unblemished run at the Stadium of Light. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 86.59%. A draw has a probability of 9.2% and a win for Estoril Praia has a probability of 4.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 3-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.99%) and 4-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (4.31%), while for a Estoril Praia win it is 1-2 (1.36%).

Result
BenficaDrawEstoril Praia
86.59% (3.059 3.06) 9.19% (-1.508 -1.51) 4.22% (-1.547 -1.55)
Both teams to score 44.98% (-5.274 -5.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.98% (-0.077000000000012 -0.08)26.02% (0.081 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.76% (-0.1 -0.1)46.24% (0.105 0.11)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.02% (0.464 0.46)3.99% (-0.46 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.17% (1.463 1.46)16.83% (-1.46 -1.46)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.85% (-5.745 -5.75)53.15% (5.75 5.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.25% (-3.954 -3.95)86.75% (3.958 3.96)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 86.58%
    Estoril Praia 4.22%
    Draw 9.19%
BenficaDrawEstoril Praia
3-0 @ 11.81% (1.22 1.22)
2-0 @ 10.99% (0.78 0.78)
4-0 @ 9.52% (1.27 1.27)
3-1 @ 7.47% (-0.444 -0.44)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.672 -0.67)
1-0 @ 6.83% (0.265 0.27)
5-0 @ 6.14% (0.999 1)
4-1 @ 6.02% (-0.142 -0.14)
5-1 @ 3.88% (0.043 0.04)
6-0 @ 3.3% (0.63 0.63)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.593 -0.59)
6-1 @ 2.08% (0.094 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.397 -0.4)
7-0 @ 1.52% (0.332 0.33)
5-2 @ 1.23% (-0.206 -0.21)
7-1 @ 0.96% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 86.58%
1-1 @ 4.31% (-0.583 -0.58)
2-2 @ 2.2% (-0.648 -0.65)
0-0 @ 2.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 9.19%
1-2 @ 1.36% (-0.465 -0.47)
0-1 @ 1.34% (-0.234 -0.23)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 4.22%

Who will win Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Estoril?

Benfica
Draw
Estoril Praia
Benfica
100%
Draw
0.0%
Estoril Praia
0.0%
1
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Benfica
3-1
Estoril
Kokcu (15'), Leonardo (45+2'), Gouveia (49')
Gomes (22')
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Benfica
1-1
Estoril
(Aggregate 1-1 | Estoril win 5-4 on penalties)
Otamendi (58')
Schmidt (45'), Mario (62'), Morato (77'), Gouveia (89'), Fernandes (90+1')
Guitane (16')
Kokcu (45+2'), Pina (45+2'), Mangala (67')
Oct 7, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 8
Estoril
0-1
Benfica

Cassiano (41'), Tavares (62'), Fernandes (71')
Silva (90+3')
Chiquinho (49'), Silva (61')
Apr 23, 2023 6pm
Nov 9, 2022 8.45pm
Fourth Round
Estoril
0-1
Benfica
Neres (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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