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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Estoril

Porto
4 - 0
Estoril

Loader (19'), Pepe (28'), Galeno (77', 87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Alvaro (36'), Maria Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Moreirense
Thursday, October 31 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Estoril 4-1 Arouca
Saturday, October 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 4-0 Estoril Praia

Porto's outstanding form this season should mean they come into Sunday's clash as strong favourites. Estoril have also been poor on the road, and it would not be surprising if they conceded multiple goals despite taking some confidence from their win last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.33%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.41%) and 1-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortoDrawEstoril Praia
76.33% (-0.51400000000001 -0.51) 15.07% (0.228 0.23) 8.6% (0.285 0.29)
Both teams to score 47.21% (0.504 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.65% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)37.35% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.43% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)59.57% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.87% (-0.13 -0.13)8.13% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.46% (-0.321 -0.32)28.53% (0.319 0.32)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.39% (0.619 0.62)48.61% (-0.62 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.32% (0.444 0.44)83.68% (-0.44500000000001 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Porto 76.32%
    Estoril Praia 8.6%
    Draw 15.07%
PortoDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 12.44% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 10.41% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 7.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.53% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.28% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.053 0.05)
5-1 @ 2.37% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.023 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.37% (-0.048 -0.05)
6-1 @ 0.99% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 76.32%
1-1 @ 7.15% (0.103 0.1)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.24% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 15.07%
0-1 @ 2.85% (0.059 0.06)
1-2 @ 2.58% (0.082 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.03% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 8.6%

How you voted: Porto vs Estoril

Porto
94.3%
Draw
5.7%
Estoril Praia
0.0%
35
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Estoril
1-0
Porto
Cassiano (69')
Zanocelo (45+5'), Tavares (46'), Marques (81'), Carne (81'), Pina (89')
Vital (90+3')

Mario (37'), Pepe (65'), Gonzalez (77'), Conceicao (78'), Evanilson (88'), Pepe (90+1'), Otavio (90+1')
Costa (65'), Conceicao (89')
Jan 9, 2024 8.45pm
Round of 16
Estoril
0-4
Porto

Marques (45+1'), Marques (45+2'), Alvaro (49')
Evanilson (24', 31', 56'), Galeno (76')
Gonzalez (53'), Wendell (79')
Dec 6, 2023 6pm
Group Stage
Estoril
3-1
Porto
Cassiano (22'), Guitane (90+1'), Carlos (90+5' pen.)
Feltes (72')
Pepe (34')
Grujic (53'), Taremi (55'), Eustaquio (71'), Cardoso (83'), Carmo (90+4')
Nov 3, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
0-1
Estoril

Eustaquio (29'), Conceicao (31'), Gonzalez (70'), Carmo (74'), Martinez (78')
Holsgrove (75')
Feltes (10'), Fernandes (35'), Marques (39'), Vital (45+1'), Alvaro (55'), Araujo (56'), Carne (84')
Mar 10, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 24
Porto
3-2
Estoril
Grujic (9'), Franco (31'), Taremi (73' pen.)
Gouveia (27'), Geraldes (67' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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