Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 10.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Estoril Praia |
72.98% ( 0.06) | 16.35% ( -0.02) | 10.67% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.14% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.26% ( 0) | 36.73% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.1% ( 0) | 58.9% ( -0) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.27% ( 0.01) | 8.72% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70% ( 0.03) | 30% ( -0.03) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.03% ( -0.06) | 43.97% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.9% ( -0.05) | 80.1% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Estoril Praia |
2-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.62% 4-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.93% 6-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 72.98% | 1-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 16.35% | 1-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 10.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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