MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 15:13:10| >> :600:3190360:3190360:
Leixoes
Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Sep 27, 2023 at 8.45pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Estoril

Leixoes
1 - 2
Estoril

Bolgado (8')
Vieira (20'), Freitas (81')
Wakaso (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cassiano (3'), Tavares (62')
Koindredi (56'), Araujo (68'), Tavares (75'), Soares (90+2'), Alvaro (90+4'), Pavlic (90+7')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Leixoes and Estoril Praia.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Leixoes 0-0 Portimonense (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, July 30 at 11am in Taca da Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Vizela
Saturday, September 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Leixoes had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Leixoes win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
LeixoesDrawEstoril Praia
28.99% (-0.139 -0.14) 25.76% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 45.24% (0.234 0.23)
Both teams to score 52.62% (0.223 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.83% (0.328 0.33)51.17% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98% (0.286 0.29)73.01% (-0.28999999999999 -0.29)
Leixoes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (0.068999999999988 0.07)32.03% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (0.079000000000001 0.08)68.5% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (0.246 0.25)22.57% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83% (0.37 0.37)56.17% (-0.373 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Leixoes 29%
    Estoril Praia 45.24%
    Draw 25.76%
LeixoesDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-1 @ 6.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.69% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29%
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.23% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 10.76% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.52% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 45.24%

How you voted: Leixoes vs Estoril

Leixoes
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Estoril Praia
60.0%
5
rhs 2.0
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