MX23RW : Saturday, March 15 21:57:00| >> :600:94621:94621:
Royal Antwerp
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bosuilstadion
Porto

Antwerp
1 - 4
Porto

Yusuf (37')
Muja (72'), Alderweireld (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Evanilson (46', 69', 84'), Eustaquio (54')
Eustaquio (14'), Carmo (45+2'), Pepe (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Royal Antwerp and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charleroi 3-2 Antwerp
Saturday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Vilar de Perdizes 0-2 Porto
Friday, October 20 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Royal Antwerp 0-2 Porto

Antwerp have shown some defensive vulnerabilities in their opening two group games, and we believe that a shaky backline could be their downfall on Wednesday. In contrast to their hosts, Porto are usually a hard team to break down, and we think that their defensive resilience will lay the foundations for a crucial victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Royal Antwerp win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Royal AntwerpDrawPorto
34.34% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05) 26.36% (0.1 0.1) 39.29% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.8% (-0.341 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.1% (-0.43 -0.43)51.89% (0.42 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35% (-0.376 -0.38)73.64% (0.366 0.37)
Royal Antwerp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (-0.242 -0.24)28.76% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (-0.3 -0.3)64.6% (0.291 0.29)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (-0.23299999999999 -0.23)25.88% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (-0.311 -0.31)60.86% (0.30099999999999 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Royal Antwerp 34.34%
    Porto 39.29%
    Draw 26.35%
Royal AntwerpDrawPorto
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.78% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.34%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.44% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 10.06% (0.103 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.47% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.8% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 39.29%

How you voted: Antwerp vs Porto

Royal Antwerp
Draw
Porto
Royal Antwerp
7.1%
Draw
8.3%
Porto
84.6%
156
rhs 2.0
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