Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Bosuilstadion
Antwerp1 - 4Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Charleroi 3-2 Antwerp
Saturday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Saturday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Vilar de Perdizes 0-2 Porto
Friday, October 20 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Friday, October 20 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
We said: Royal Antwerp 0-2 Porto
Antwerp have shown some defensive vulnerabilities in their opening two group games, and we believe that a shaky backline could be their downfall on Wednesday. In contrast to their hosts, Porto are usually a hard team to break down, and we think that their defensive resilience will lay the foundations for a crucial victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Royal Antwerp win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Porto |
34.34% ( -0.05) | 26.36% ( 0.1) | 39.29% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.8% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.1% ( -0.43) | 51.89% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% ( -0.38) | 73.64% ( 0.37) |
| Royal Antwerp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( -0.24) | 28.76% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.39% ( -0.3) | 64.6% ( 0.29) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( -0.23) | 25.88% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.14% ( -0.31) | 60.86% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
Royal Antwerp 34.34%
Porto 39.29%
Draw 26.35%
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.34% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.29% |
How you voted: Antwerp vs Porto
Royal Antwerp
7.1%Draw
8.3%Porto
84.6%156
