Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Bosuilstadion
Antwerp2 - 3Shakhtar
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mechelen 0-0 Antwerp
Saturday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Saturday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Shakhtar 1-2 Vorskla
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Goals
for
for
17
We said: Royal Antwerp 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk
Even Antwerp's recent streak of impressive defensive displays should count for little against a Shakhtar side who always find a way through the opposition's defence, even if they come out on the wrong end of the scoreline, as was the case a fortnight ago. However, with several key players set to return to the XI against a Reds side lacking attacking inspiration, Shakhtar need only prolong their prolific streak in front of goal to emerge victorious and leave Antwerp still searching for their first group-stage point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
45.81% ( 0.25) | 23.24% ( 0.05) | 30.95% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 62.38% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.11% ( -0.38) | 38.89% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.8% ( -0.4) | 61.2% ( 0.4) |
| Royal Antwerp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( -0.05) | 17.34% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.28% ( -0.09) | 47.72% ( 0.1) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.46% ( -0.36) | 24.53% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.99% ( -0.51) | 59.01% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
Royal Antwerp 45.81%
Shakhtar Donetsk 30.95%
Draw 23.24%
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.04% Total : 45.81% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.95% |
How you voted: Antwerp vs Shakhtar
Royal Antwerp
26.1%Draw
20.3%Shakhtar Donetsk
53.6%207
