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Champions League
AEK Athens
Champions League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Royal Antwerp

AEK Athens
1 - 2
Antwerp

Araujo (90')
Mantalos (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kerk (73'), Ange Balikwisha (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between AEK Athens and Royal Antwerp, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Athens

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 Panserraikos
Saturday, August 26 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague

Royal Antwerp

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Antwerp 1-0 AEK Athens
Tuesday, August 22 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: AEK Athens 1-1 Royal Antwerp (Antwerp win 2-1 on aggregate)

 Converting chances into goals has not been AEK Athens' forte over the past week, and the injury to Garcia will do the wasteful hosts no favours on the offensive front either. While Almeyda's men are unlikely to be kept at bay throughout the entire 90 minutes, especially given Antwerp's mediocre results on the road, the Belgian champions can capitalise on any weekend fatigue from the Double-Headed Eagle to seal a first-ever group-stage berth. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Royal Antwerp had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Royal Antwerp win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
AEK AthensDrawRoyal Antwerp
41.91%27.06%31.03%
Both teams to score 49.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.53%55.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.34%76.65%
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.87%26.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81%61.19%
Royal Antwerp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22%32.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66%69.34%
Score Analysis
    AEK Athens 41.9%
    Royal Antwerp 31.03%
    Draw 27.06%
AEK AthensDrawRoyal Antwerp
1-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 8.61%
2-0 @ 7.72%
3-1 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 3.45%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 41.9%
1-1 @ 12.82%
0-0 @ 8.56%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.55%
1-2 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 5.33%
1-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.03%

How you voted: AEK Athens vs Antwerp

AEK Athens
58.3%
Draw
19.2%
Royal Antwerp
22.5%
120
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2023 8pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Antwerp
1-0
AEK Athens
Janssen (16')
De Laet (67'), Butez (90+2')
Bataille (50')

Szymanski (25'), Pineda (53')
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