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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Porto

Benfica
1 - 0
Porto

di Maria (68')
Neves (59'), di Maria (69'), Jurasek (90+5'), Otamendi (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Carmo (34'), Taremi (35'), Conceicao (45+45'), Wendell (77'), Pedro da Silva Figueiredo Freitas (82'), Conceicao (90+5')
Cardoso (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-3 Benfica
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, September 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 2-1 Porto

 We certainly expect a tight encounter at the Estadio da Luz on Friday, with little to split the two teams who both boast plenty of quality all over the pitch. Although the visitors are a point better off at this stage, they are yet to put a statement victory on the board, while their hosts head in with more momentum on the back of five consecutive league wins, and we fancy As Aguias to go top on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Porto had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawPorto
41.58% (0.393 0.39) 24.29% (-0.087 -0.09) 34.12% (-0.309 -0.31)
Both teams to score 59.87% (0.235 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.26% (0.341 0.34)42.73% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.86% (0.339 0.34)65.13% (-0.34 -0.34)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.3% (0.328 0.33)20.69% (-0.329 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (0.51300000000001 0.51)53.29% (-0.512 -0.51)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)24.51% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)58.97% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 41.58%
    Porto 34.12%
    Draw 24.29%
BenficaDrawPorto
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.039 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.29% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 41.58%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.07% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.12%

How you voted: Benfica vs Porto

Benfica
71.4%
Draw
13.0%
Porto
15.6%
77
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2023 8.45pm
Final
Benfica
2-0
Porto
Di Maria (61'), Musa (68')
Ristic (15'), Mario (16'), Kokcu (27'), Bah (43'), Neves (49'), Chiquinho (84'), Vlachodimos (87')

Loader (29'), Pepe (33'), Pepe (45+1'), Eustaquio (51'), Sanusi (55')
Pepe (90'), Conceicao (90+8')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 27
Benfica
1-2
Porto
Costa (10' og.)
Uribe (45'), Taremi (54')
> Match Report
Oct 21, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 10
Porto
0-1
Benfica
Silva (72')
> Preview
May 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Benfica
0-1
Porto

Dias (16'), Ramos (24'), Nunez (53'), Lazaro (62'), Almeida (71'), Otamendi (71'), Mario (82'), Weigl (84'), Yaremchuk (90'), Gilberto (90+6')
Sanusi (90+4')
Grujic (30'), Pepe (40'), Taremi (79'), Costa (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 30, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 16
Porto
3-1
Benfica
Vieira (34'), Pepe (37'), Taremi (69')
Cardoso (30'), Pepe (51'), Martinez (90+1')
Yaremchuk (46')
Almeida (8'), Vertonghen (25'), Goncalves (90+3'), Gilberto (90+5')
Almeida (49')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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