Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Portimonense1 - 0Estoril
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Covilha 1-4 Portimonense
Friday, October 20 at 7pm in Taca de Portugal
Friday, October 20 at 7pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Sintrense 0-5 Estoril
Sunday, October 22 at 11am in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, October 22 at 11am in Taca de Portugal
Goals
for
for
14
We said: Portimonense 2-1 Estoril Praia
Neither team can boast impressive performances in the Primeira Liga this season, but Portimonense enter this match as favourites with home field advantage on their side. The 5-0 away win in the Taca de Portugal may have given Estoril confidence, but their away record this season suggests it will be very difficult to pick up at least a point on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
27.76% ( -0.01) | 24.66% ( 0.01) | 47.57% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
