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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Portimonense

Arouca
1 - 1
Portimonense

Sylla (84')
Simao (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sandro Oliveira Alves Varela (5')
Formiga (25'), Sergio (39+39'), Dener (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 2-2 Arouca
Sunday, August 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-4 Boavista
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 2-1 Portimonense

Arouca remain unbeaten after two league games, and while they have proven they can score goals, they have also been conceding very frequently. Portimonense have looked hopeless in their two opening matches though, letting in nine goals, and this could be another difficult evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawPortimonense
43.96% (0.472 0.47) 27.26% (0.064 0.06) 28.77% (-0.535 -0.54)
Both teams to score 48.01% (-0.464 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.94% (-0.456 -0.46)57.06% (0.455 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.05% (-0.365 -0.37)77.94% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22% (0.034999999999997 0.03)25.78% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27% (0.045999999999999 0.05)60.73% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.69% (-0.65700000000001 -0.66)35.31% (0.658 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.94% (-0.689 -0.69)72.06% (0.68899999999999 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 43.96%
    Portimonense 28.77%
    Draw 27.25%
AroucaDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 12.33% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.71% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.161 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 28.77%

How you voted: Arouca vs Portimonense

Arouca
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Portimonense
0.0%
9
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 34
Portimonense
0-2
Arouca

Gonzalez (67')
Antony (49'), Ruiz (51')
Jan 20, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 17
Arouca
4-0
Portimonense
Dabbagh (6', 76'), Ruiz (32'), Michel (79')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Arouca
1-0
Portimonense
Simao (50')
Quaresma (22')

Willyan (37'), Moufi (57')
Dec 18, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 15
Portimonense
1-1
Arouca
Luquinhas (71')
Willyan (12'), Cande (70'), Carlinhos (89')
Silva (52')
Bukia (73'), Silva (88'), Kouassi (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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