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Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 5, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Portimonense

Casa Pia
1 - 1
Portimonense

Soares (68')
Soares (43'), Lelo (90+7')
(44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rochez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 1-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, April 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 4-1 Portimonense
Saturday, April 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 1-1 Portimonense

While Casa Pia have suffered defeat in four of their last five matches, Portimonense have lost eight of their previous nine on the road, so we expect Friday's clash to be a cagey encounter as both sides aim to avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawPortimonense
43.64% (0.071999999999996 0.07) 25.36% (0.02 0.02) 30.99% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 54.98% (-0.117 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.4% (-0.134 -0.13)48.6% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.28% (-0.122 -0.12)70.72% (0.122 0.12)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)22.23% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)55.65% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (-0.131 -0.13)29.31% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (-0.16 -0.16)65.28% (0.15900000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 43.64%
    Portimonense 30.99%
    Draw 25.36%
Casa PiaDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 9.8% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.39% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 43.64%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.51% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8% (0.015 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 30.99%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Portimonense

Casa Pia
64.0%
Draw
24.0%
Portimonense
12.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2022 7pm
gameweek 14
Portimonense
1-2
Casa Pia
Luquinhas (35' pen.)
Estrela (11')
Neto (31' og.), Antoine (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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