Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Portimonense |
43.96% ( -0.1) | 25.42% ( 0.03) | 30.62% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 54.6% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.99% ( -0.09) | 49.01% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.91% ( -0.08) | 71.09% ( 0.09) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.75% ( -0.08) | 22.25% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.31% ( -0.13) | 55.69% ( 0.13) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.23% | 29.77% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.15% ( -0) | 65.85% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.96% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
16 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |