Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
33.92% ( 0.23) | 26.88% ( -0.05) | 39.2% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 51.04% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.9% ( 0.25) | 54.1% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.48% ( 0.21) | 75.52% ( -0.21) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.88% ( 0.27) | 30.12% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.73% ( 0.33) | 66.26% ( -0.33) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% ( 0.02) | 26.95% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.7% ( 0.03) | 62.29% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 35 |
6 | Casa Pia | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 29 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 27 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 24 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 22 |
14 | Nacional | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 12 |
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