Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 45.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Portimonense |
45.08% ( 1.11) | 27.9% ( 0.15) | 27.02% ( -1.26) |
Both teams to score 45.19% ( -1.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.86% ( -1.1) | 60.13% ( 1.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.66% ( -0.84) | 80.34% ( 0.84) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.37% ( 0.06) | 26.62% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.14% ( 0.08) | 61.86% ( -0.08) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.58% ( -1.64) | 38.41% ( 1.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.83% ( -1.61) | 75.16% ( 1.61) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 45.08% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.58% Total : 27.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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