Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Estoril Praia | 5 | 2 | 7 |
7 | Chaves | 4 | 2 | 7 |
8 | Sporting Lisbon | 5 | 0 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Gil Vicente | 5 | -2 | 5 |
14 | Rio Ave | 4 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Santa Clara | 5 | -2 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 43%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Rio Ave |
43% ( 1.34) | 27.75% ( 0.02) | 29.25% ( -1.35) |
Both teams to score 46.88% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.38% ( -0.52) | 58.62% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.82% ( -0.41) | 79.18% ( 0.41) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% ( 0.47) | 27% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.64% ( 0.61) | 62.36% ( -0.61) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.22% ( -1.31) | 35.78% ( 1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.45% ( -1.37) | 72.55% ( 1.37) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.93% Total : 43% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.09) Other @ 2% Total : 29.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 35 |
6 | Casa Pia | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 29 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 27 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 24 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 22 |
14 | Nacional | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 12 |
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