Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Vizela | 5 | -1 | 5 |
13 | Rio Ave | 5 | -2 | 5 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Porto | 6 | 11 | 15 |
3 | Braga | 5 | 15 | 13 |
4 | Portimonense | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Braga |
21.34% ( 0.01) | 24.07% ( -0.06) | 54.59% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.41% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.53% ( 0.25) | 50.46% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.61% ( 0.22) | 72.39% ( -0.22) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.76% ( 0.15) | 38.23% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.01% ( 0.15) | 74.99% ( -0.14) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.62% ( 0.11) | 18.38% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.48% ( 0.19) | 49.52% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.54% Total : 21.34% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.08% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.69% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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