Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 5 | 10 | 15 |
2 | Braga | 4 | 14 | 10 |
3 | Porto | 4 | 6 | 9 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Sporting Lisbon | 5 | 0 | 7 |
9 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 4 | 0 | 6 |
10 | Boavista | 4 | -3 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
60.09% ( 2.24) | 22.27% ( -0.74) | 17.65% ( -1.49) |
Both teams to score 49.91% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.96% ( 0.88) | 48.05% ( -0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.79% ( 0.81) | 70.22% ( -0.8) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.43% ( 1.07) | 15.58% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.47% ( 1.95) | 44.54% ( -1.94) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.12% ( -1.2) | 40.88% ( 1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.55% ( -1.09) | 77.45% ( 1.1) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.23% Total : 60.08% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.27% | 0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.94% Total : 17.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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