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UEFA Conference League
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 10, 2022 at 5pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Hajduk Split

Silva (5')
Amaro (42'), Varela (45'), Silva (45+1')
Silva (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Livaja (37'), Simic (40'), Vukovic (45'), Colina (57'), Borevkovic (59'), Biuk (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa Conference League clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Hajduk Split, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

Last Six:
Last Game: Chaves 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, August 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Hajduk Split

Last Six:
    Last Game: Hajduk Split 3-1 Guimaraes
    Thursday, August 4 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

    We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-2 Hajduk Split

     With Guimaraes needing to chase a two-goal deficit, we can envisage an open encounter in Portugal on Wednesday. It would be no surprise to see the hosts claw a goal back, with Hajduk Split potentially having to hold their nerve before effectively ending the tie late in the match. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

    Result
    Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawHajduk Split
    47.26% (-0.012 -0.01) 23.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 29.61% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
    Both teams to score 61.94% (0.0039999999999978 0)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    60.88% (0.0039999999999978 0)39.12% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    38.55% (0.0040000000000049 0)61.45% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
    Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    83.13% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)16.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    53.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)46.9% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
    Hajduk Split Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    74.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.49% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    39.67% (0.012999999999998 0.01)60.33% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
    Score Analysis
        Vitoria de Guimaraes 47.26%
        Hajduk Split 29.61%
        Draw 23.13%
    Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawHajduk Split
    2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
    1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
    2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
    3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
    3-2 @ 3.77%
    4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
    4-2 @ 1.68%
    Other @ 4.23%
    Total : 47.26%
    		1-1 @ 10.46%
    2-2 @ 6.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
    0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    3-3 @ 1.72%
    Other @ 0.29%
    Total : 23.13%
    		1-2 @ 7.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
    0-1 @ 5.88%
    0-2 @ 4.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    1-3 @ 3.26% (0.0020000000000002 0)
    2-3 @ 2.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
    0-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
    1-4 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    2-4 @ 0.99%
    Other @ 2.47%
    Total : 29.61%

    How you voted: Guimaraes vs Hajduk Split

    Vitoria de Guimaraes
    56.1%
    Draw
    19.5%
    Hajduk Split
    24.4%
    82
    Head to Head
    Aug 4, 2022 8pm
    Hajduk Split
    3-1
    Guimaraes
    Sahiti (67'), Melnjak (75'), Krovinovic (87')
    Krovinovic (23')
    Maga (61')
    Silva (12'), Semedo (72')
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