We said: Boavista 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Boavista, while they have emerged victorious in two of those contests, and with the top five still a possibility, we think that the hosts will pick up another victory over Boavista.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.