Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 14.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.