Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 10 | 51 |
6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 33 | 4 | 45 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Gil Vicente |
60.19% | 21.68% | 18.13% |
Both teams to score 52.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.22% | 44.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.86% | 67.14% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.56% | 14.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.6% | 42.4% |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.62% | 38.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.86% | 75.14% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 10.72% 2-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 6.41% 4-0 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 3.07% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.25% 5-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.7% Total : 60.18% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 0-0 @ 5.55% 2-2 @ 4.76% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.67% | 0-1 @ 5.31% 1-2 @ 4.92% 0-2 @ 2.54% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.27% Total : 18.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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