Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.