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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
Vizela

Moreirense
4 - 1
Vizela

Mane (8'), Jorge (16'), Lacerda (30'), Yan (66')
Amador (34'), Pacheco (75'), Conceicao (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Paulo (90+3')
Ofori (36'), Anderson (64'), Juliao (71')
Fernandes (3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Chaves
Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 4-1 Vizela
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Moreirense 2-1 Vizela

Given the stakes of the game for Vizela, we expect them to come out guns blazing in search of all three points to leapfrog Tondela into the relegation playoff spot. They take on an opposing side who will be playing only for pride having recently confirmed their survival. While we expect the visitors to put up a fight, we are tipping Moreirmse to come away with a slender win and complete a league double over the Vizelenses. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
MoreirenseDrawVizela
44.52% (0.431 0.43) 26.05% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 29.43% (-0.421 -0.42)
Both teams to score 51.97% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.86% (-0.149 -0.15)52.14% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14% (-0.129 -0.13)73.86% (0.13000000000001 0.13)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (0.142 0.14)23.33% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (0.207 0.21)57.28% (-0.205 -0.2)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)32.22% (0.384 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (-0.437 -0.44)68.71% (0.438 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 44.51%
    Vizela 29.43%
    Draw 26.05%
MoreirenseDrawVizela
1-0 @ 10.93% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.96% (0.113 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 44.51%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.52% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.51% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 29.43%

Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 3.30pm
Vizela
0-1
Moreirense

Kouao (90+6')
Martins (59')
Vitoria (62'), Jambor (81'), Kewin (89'), Soares (90+4'), Luis (90+4'), Pires (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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