Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.