Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toulouse win with a probability of 55.78%. A draw has a probability of 23.9% and a win for Montpellier HSC has a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it is 0-1 (6.66%).
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
55.78% ( 1.12) | 23.91% ( -0.34) | 20.3% ( -0.78) |
Both teams to score 49.4% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.94% ( 0.43) | 51.05% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.09% ( 0.38) | 72.91% ( -0.38) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.84% ( 0.58) | 18.16% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.87% ( 0.99) | 49.13% ( -0.99) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.36% ( -0.56) | 39.64% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.68% ( -0.52) | 76.32% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.33% Total : 55.77% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.87% Total : 23.91% | 0-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.35% Total : 20.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |