Lens2 - 0Montpellier
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
for
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
for
We said: Lens 2-0 Montpellier HSC
Montpellier have fired blanks in four of their six away games this term, scoring three times and conceding 17. Despite Lens' inconsistency on home soil, they should claim a third victory at Stade Bollaert-Delelis at La Paillade's expense. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
58.9% ( -0.74) | 22.07% ( 0.18) | 19.03% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 53.06% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.87% ( 0.09) | 45.13% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.52% ( 0.08) | 67.48% ( -0.08) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.02% ( -0.21) | 14.98% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.59% ( -0.4) | 43.41% ( 0.4) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.41% ( 0.68) | 37.59% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.63% ( 0.66) | 74.37% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 58.88% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.07% | 0-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.46% Total : 19.03% |
