MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 20:59:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25
Feb 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lens logo

Montpellier
1 - 1
Lens

Maouassa (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fulgini (4')
Danso (20'), Sotoca (23'), Costa (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Troyes 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, February 19 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-1 Lens

Having claimed back-to-back wins following Der Zakarian's arrival, Montpellier will fancy their chances of frustrating Lens, regardless of the 23-point gap between the two sides. The Blood and Gold have drawn four of their last five away league outings, so the European chasers might have to settle for another point on the road this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLens
16.21% (0.64 0.64) 20.4% (0.174 0.17) 63.39% (-0.81399999999999 -0.81)
Both teams to score 53% (0.903 0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.58% (0.45500000000001 0.46)42.41% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.18% (0.454 0.45)64.82% (-0.455 -0.45)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.73% (1.1 1.1)39.26% (-1.1 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.03% (1.014 1.01)75.97% (-1.016 -1.02)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.26% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)12.74% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.02% (-0.193 -0.19)38.98% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 16.21%
    Lens 63.38%
    Draw 20.4%
Montpellier HSCDrawLens
1-0 @ 4.67% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 4.5% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 2.19% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 1.4% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.21%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.102 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.149 0.15)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.4%
0-2 @ 10.61% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-1 @ 10.3% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 7.29% (-0.229 -0.23)
1-3 @ 6.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.76% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-4 @ 3.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.092 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.64% (0.041 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-5 @ 1.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 63.38%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lens

Montpellier HSC
27.7%
Draw
17.0%
Lens
55.3%
47
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 8pm
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Oct 17, 2021 4pm
Montpellier
1-0
Lens
Mavididi (47')
Chotard (58'), Esteve (67'), Ferri (68')
Ferri (86')

Wooh (29'), Costa (62'), Jean (77'), Said (81')
Jan 30, 2021 4pm
Montpellier
1-2
Lens
Wahi (78')
Mavididi (15'), Mendes (16'), Laborde (18'), Hilton (48')
Doucoure (7'), Kakuta (67')
Sotoca (51'), Banza (55'), Mauricio (83'), Haidara (90')
Dec 12, 2020 8pm
Lens
2-3
Montpellier
Omlin (36' og.), Kakuta (50' pen.)
Cahuzac (75')
Mavididi (16'), Mendes (26'), Laborde (69')
Mendes (38')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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