MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 05:06:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
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Ligue 1
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 5, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Lens logo

Brest
1 - 1
Lens

Le Douaron (54')
Camara (25'), Herelle (29'), Lees-Melou (38'), Bizot (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gradit (83')
Medina (26'), Fofana (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Brest
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 0-1 Nice
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 0-1 Lens

 With Lens losing their bite amid a spate of injuries and Brest proving more and more resilient under Roy, a high-scoring affair should be off the cards here, especially with both sides demonstrating an affinity for closely-fought draws. Haise's side have not been able to replicate their previously brilliant home form on the road, but with Sotoca and Openda both well-rested and raring to go, Haise's men should just about get the job done to maintain their unassailable lead in the podium spots. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.82%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Brest win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawLens
19.07% (-0.103 -0.1) 23.36% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 57.57% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 49.11% (-0.321 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.56% (-0.34 -0.34)50.44% (0.342 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.63% (-0.302 -0.3)72.37% (0.30200000000001 0.3)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.36% (-0.314 -0.31)40.64% (0.315 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.77% (-0.285 -0.29)77.23% (0.285 0.28)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)17.28% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (-0.182 -0.18)47.61% (0.182 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Brest 19.07%
    Lens 57.56%
    Draw 23.36%
BrestDrawLens
1-0 @ 6.32% (0.033 0.03)
2-1 @ 5% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 19.07%
1-1 @ 11.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 12.32% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 10.82% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.33% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.7% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.5% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 57.56%

How you voted: Brest vs Lens

Brest
20.5%
Draw
11.4%
Lens
68.2%
44
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 8pm
Round of 32
Brest
1-3
Lens
Slimani (19')
Lees-Melou (32')
Said (5'), Medina (30'), Thomasson (37')
Aug 7, 2022 2pm
Lens
3-2
Brest
Sotoca (27', 62', 65')
Costa (38'), Danso (78')
Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')
Mar 5, 2022 4pm
Lens
0-1
Brest

Medina (67')
Honorat (59')
Belkebla (54')
Nov 21, 2021 12pm
Brest
4-0
Lens
Mounie (3'), Chardonnet (13'), Faivre (33'), Le Douaron (69')
Duverne (58')

Medina (36'), Doucoure (76')
Kalimuendo (74')
Apr 18, 2021 2pm
Brest
1-1
Lens
Cahuzac (37' og.), Kakuta (72' pen.)
Bade (35'), Haidara (48'), Fortes (54'), Banza (59'), Clauss (63'), Lucas (87')
Haise (65'), Fortes (81'), Lucas (89'), Banza (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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