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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
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Rennes
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Strasbourg
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Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Brest logo

Lens
3 - 2
Brest

Sotoca (27', 62', 65')
Costa (38'), Danso (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Belkebla (66'), Del Castillo (82' pen.)
Lees-Melou (31'), Belaili (43'), Brassier (62'), Chardonnet (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

Last Six:
    Last Game: Lens 0-0 West Ham
    Saturday, July 30 at 5.15pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Brest

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
      Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

      We said: Lens 2-1 Brest

       Surely something must give, as both teams seek to end their dismal opening-day records, and it is most likely that Lens will do so, due to a combination of home advantage and their greater firepower up front. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Brest had a probability of 22.23%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

      Result
      LensDrawBrest
      53.21% (-0.191 -0.19) 24.56% (0.02 0.02) 22.23% (0.171 0.17)
      Both teams to score 50.09% (0.158 0.16)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      48.52% (0.097000000000001 0.1)51.47% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      26.72% (0.085000000000001 0.09)73.28% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
      Lens Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      80.7% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)19.29% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      48.96% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)51.04% (0.061 0.06)
      Brest Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      62.07% (0.222 0.22)37.93% (-0.225 -0.23)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      25.3% (0.214 0.21)74.7% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
      Score Analysis
          Lens 53.21%
          Brest 22.23%
          Draw 24.56%
      LensDrawBrest
      1-0 @ 12.04% (-0.06 -0.06)
      2-0 @ 9.91% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
      2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
      3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.041 -0.04)
      3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
      3-2 @ 2.55% (0.012 0.01)
      4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
      4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
      4-2 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
      Other @ 2.96%
      Total : 53.21%
      		1-1 @ 11.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
      0-0 @ 7.32% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
      2-2 @ 4.66% (0.027 0.03)
      Other @ 0.91%
      Total : 24.56%
      		0-1 @ 7.1% (0.016 0.02)
      1-2 @ 5.66% (0.04 0.04)
      0-2 @ 3.44% (0.028 0.03)
      1-3 @ 1.83% (0.023 0.02)
      2-3 @ 1.5% (0.018 0.02)
      0-3 @ 1.11% (0.016 0.02)
      Other @ 1.59%
      Total : 22.23%

      How you voted: Lens vs Brest

      Lens
      77.1%
      Draw
      17.1%
      Brest
      5.7%
      35
      Head to Head
      Mar 5, 2022 4pm
      Lens
      0-1
      Brest

      Medina (67')
      Honorat (59')
      Belkebla (54')
      Nov 21, 2021 12pm
      Brest
      4-0
      Lens
      Mounie (3'), Chardonnet (13'), Faivre (33'), Le Douaron (69')
      Duverne (58')

      Medina (36'), Doucoure (76')
      Kalimuendo (74')
      Apr 18, 2021 2pm
      Brest
      1-1
      Lens
      Cahuzac (37' og.), Kakuta (72' pen.)
      Bade (35'), Haidara (48'), Fortes (54'), Banza (59'), Clauss (63'), Lucas (87')
      Haise (65'), Fortes (81'), Lucas (89'), Banza (89')
      Dec 23, 2020 6pm
      Lens
      2-1
      Brest
      Kalimuendo (11'), Sotoca (34' pen.)
      Charbonnier (90+4' pen.)
      Pierre-Gabriel (13'), Duverne (32')
      Apr 27, 2019 2pm
      Brest
      2-0
      Lens
      Court (35'), Autret (45')
      Autret (52')
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
      2Marseille18114340211937
      3Lille1888228171132
      4MonacoMonaco189452920931
      5Nice1886436251130
      6Lyon188552922729
      7Lens187652218427
      8Toulouse187471919025
      9Brest188192831-325
      10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
      11Auxerre186482428-422
      12Angers186482127-622
      13Reims185672426-221
      14Rennes1852112427-317
      15NantesNantes183872128-717
      16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
      17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
      18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512
      > Ligue 1 Full Table


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