MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 07:42:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Bordeaux

Brest
2 - 4
Bordeaux

Mounie (16'), Belaili (34')
Chardonnet (30')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Mangas (14'), Mara (32', 73'), Dilrosun (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Bordeaux, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-1 Bordeaux

Brest may have little left to play for but, realistically, that is also the case for Bordeaux. They will likely give it their all either way but Les Girondins simply have not been good enough this season and we do not expect them to end the campaign on a high so are backing a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 20.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
BrestDrawBordeaux
59.42% (-2.541 -2.54) 20.33% (0.769 0.77) 20.25% (1.766 1.77)
Both teams to score 61.36% (0.407 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.79% (-0.90599999999999 -0.91)35.2% (0.899 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.78% (-1.014 -1.01)57.21% (1.007 1.01)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.37% (-0.943 -0.94)11.63% (0.936 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.35% (-2.06 -2.06)36.64% (2.053 2.05)
Bordeaux Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43% (1.183 1.18)30.57% (-1.19 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2% (1.381 1.38)66.79% (-1.39 -1.39)
Score Analysis
    Brest 59.42%
    Bordeaux 20.25%
    Draw 20.33%
BrestDrawBordeaux
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.257 -0.26)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 7% (-0.259 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.9% (-0.422 -0.42)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.76% (-0.292 -0.29)
4-0 @ 3.18% (-0.36 -0.36)
4-2 @ 2.23% (-0.096 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.193 -0.19)
5-0 @ 1.37% (-0.215 -0.22)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 59.42%
1-1 @ 9.06% (0.358 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.197 0.2)
0-0 @ 3.55% (0.16 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.33%
1-2 @ 5.37% (0.379 0.38)
0-1 @ 4.21% (0.318 0.32)
0-2 @ 2.5% (0.263 0.26)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.149 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.213 0.21)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 20.25%

How you voted: Brest vs Bordeaux

Brest
72.1%
Draw
18.6%
Bordeaux
9.3%
43
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Bordeaux
1-2
Brest
Rode Gregersen (43')
Pembele (75'), Mexer (80'), Niang (86')
Le Douaron (60', 66')
Chardonnet (50')
Feb 7, 2021 12pm
Brest
2-1
Bordeaux
Mounie (80'), Faivre (85')
Honorat (90+3')
Ui-jo (56')
Ben Arfa (6'), Koscielny (48'), Basic (51')
Dec 6, 2020 2pm
Feb 5, 2020 6pm
Brest
1-1
Bordeaux
Benito (80' og.)
Baal (72'), Cardona (79')
Castelletto (68')
Ui-jo (10')
Dec 18, 2019 8.05pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!