MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 16:46:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Lyon

Brest
2 - 4
Lyon

Pereira Lage (29'), Mounie (72')
Chardonnet (34'), Camara (39')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Caqueret (21'), Cherki (32'), Lacazette (35' pen.), Tete (49')
Cherki (31'), Caqueret (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 2-1 Troyes
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Liverpool 1-3 Lyon
Sunday, December 11 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Brest 1-1 Lyon

Despite having plenty of experienced players and lots of quality, Lyon still seem to be searching for their identity under Blanc. Brest do not possess nearly as much talent on paper as their opponents but have been sharper along the back end at home in league play, and they seem to be able to handle OL when they come to town. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawLyon
31.21% (0.0039999999999978 0) 25.15% (0.0010000000000012 0) 43.64%
Both teams to score 55.79% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.42% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)47.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.79% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)28.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)64.47% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.8% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45% (0.0039999999999978 0)55%
Score Analysis
    Brest 31.21%
    Lyon 43.64%
    Draw 25.15%
BrestDrawLyon
1-0 @ 7.81%
2-1 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 4.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.21%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 9.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 9.06%
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6%
0-3 @ 3.68%
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.4%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 43.64%

How you voted: Brest vs Lyon

Brest
15.9%
Draw
23.9%
Lyon
60.2%
88
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Brest
2-1
Lyon
Mounie (27' pen.), Cardona (74')
Faussurier (30'), Satriano (58')
Dembele (72')
Tete (18'), Mendes (55')
Aug 7, 2021 4pm
Lyon
1-1
Brest
Slimani (62')
Slimani (90+2')
Cardona (43')
Magnetti (67')
Feb 19, 2021 8pm
Brest
2-3
Lyon
Chardonnet (53'), Cardona (74')
Belkebla (40'), Herelle (90+6')
Paqueta (9'), Aouar (29'), Depay (44' pen.)
De Sciglio (56'), Paqueta (90+6')
Dec 16, 2020 8pm
Lyon
2-2
Brest
Depay (69' pen.), Cornet (81')
De Sciglio (15'), Lopes (90'), Paqueta (90+6')
Lopes (39' og.), Faivre (90+2' pen.)
Lasne (74')
May 23, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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