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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Lyon

Montpellier
1 - 2
Lyon

Wahi (70')
Savanier (59'), Wahi (74')
Mavididi (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aouar (33'), Lacazette (90')
Aouar (7'), Mendes (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 1-0 Montpellier
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-2 Lyon
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-2 Lyon

There were plenty of things to like about Lyon's first performance under Blanc, and facing a Montpellier side who are also in disarray could be just the ticket for Les Gones to end their winless habit. It is always difficult to predict the outcome of matches where two newly-hired managers pit their wits against one another, but the firepower at Blanc's disposal could see him come out on top over Montpellier's Pitau, whose own difference makers in the final third can spark an intriguing contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 54.09%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.5%) and 0-1 (7.49%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon in this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawLyon
24.3% (-0.135 -0.14) 21.61% (-0.247 -0.25) 54.09% (0.381 0.38)
Both teams to score 62.52% (0.737 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.76% (1.038 1.04)36.24% (-1.039 -1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.64% (1.129 1.13)58.35% (-1.13 -1.13)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (0.459 0.46)27.72% (-0.459 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (0.585 0.59)63.28% (-0.587 -0.59)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.5% (0.473 0.47)13.5% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.46% (0.94 0.94)40.54% (-0.941 -0.94)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 24.3%
    Lyon 54.09%
    Draw 21.61%
Montpellier HSCDrawLyon
2-1 @ 6.17% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 4.8% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-0 @ 3.08% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.64% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 24.3%
1-1 @ 9.62% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.059 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.76% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-1 @ 7.49% (-0.256 -0.26)
1-3 @ 6.43% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.01% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.12% (0.11 0.11)
1-4 @ 3.22% (0.1 0.1)
0-4 @ 2.51% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 2.06% (0.089 0.09)
1-5 @ 1.29% (0.061 0.06)
0-5 @ 1% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 54.09%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Lyon

Montpellier HSC
Draw
Lyon
Montpellier HSC
16.3%
Draw
16.3%
Lyon
67.3%
49
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 4pm
Lyon
5-2
Montpellier
Dembele (26'), Mendes (43'), Aouar (63', 90+1'), Toko Ekambi (68')
Boateng (75'), Gusto (89')
Wahi (45+1'), Savanier (45+3' pen.)
Oyongo (28'), Cozza (42')
Nov 28, 2021 4pm
Montpellier
0-1
Lyon

Ferri (68')
Paqueta (17')
Slimani (29'), Caqueret (40'), Boateng (45'), Palmieri (67')
Feb 13, 2021 8pm
Sep 15, 2020 8pm
Montpellier
2-1
Lyon
Savanier (38' pen., 59')
Delort (7'), Ferri (62'), Hilton (71')
Hilton (81')
Depay (82' pen.)
Guimaraes (36'), Toko Ekambi (45+2')
Aouar (44')
May 9, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG26215073254868
2Marseille26154753332049
3MonacoMonaco26145751321947
4Nice26138550311947
5Lyon26136750331745
6Lille26128640281244
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2612774133843
8Lens2611693129239
9Brest26114113840-237
10Toulouse2697103329434
11Auxerre2688103739-232
12Rennes2692153537-229
13NantesNantes2669112943-1427
14Angers2676132642-1627
15Reims2658132640-1423
16Le HavreLe Havre2663172655-2921
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815


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