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Ligue 1
Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Nantes

Montpellier
0 - 3
Nantes


Wahi (67')
Khazri (42'), Wahi (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Girotto (45+13'), Mohamed (81'), Blas (84')
Guessand (45+11'), Simon (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last Game: Nice 6-1 Montpellier
Wednesday, January 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Lyon
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Nantes

 Having conceded six times to Nice, Montpellier will naturally be paying more consideration to the defensive side of their game on Sunday. That may let in a resolute Nantes side to edge this match by a solitary goal, further extending their improving run of results. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawNantes
31.91% (-0.314 -0.31) 26.66% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 41.44% (0.288 0.29)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-0.193 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37% (-0.198 -0.2)53.63% (0.197 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87% (-0.168 -0.17)75.13% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-0.315 -0.31)31.22% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (-0.369 -0.37)67.57% (0.37 0.37)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.47% (0.061999999999998 0.06)25.53% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.62% (0.083999999999996 0.08)60.38% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 31.91%
    Nantes 41.44%
    Draw 26.65%
Montpellier HSCDrawNantes
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.4% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 31.91%
1-1 @ 12.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 10.88% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.43% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.44%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Nantes

Montpellier HSC
33.3%
Draw
27.1%
Nantes
39.6%
48
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 2pm
Nantes
2-0
Montpellier
Kolo (69'), Geubbels (90+2')
Castelletto (30')

Ristic (79')
Oct 31, 2021 2pm
Montpellier
2-0
Nantes
Mollet (64'), Wahi (71')
Savanier (37'), Sakho (42'), Ferri (90+2')

Appiah (35'), Traore (44'), Pallois (73'), Girotto (90'), Castelletto (90+2')
May 23, 2021 8pm
Nantes
1-2
Montpellier
Kolo (33')
Coco (82'), Blas (90+1')
Laborde (30'), Delort (76')
Hilton (18'), Souquet (45+1')
Jan 9, 2021 8pm
Montpellier
1-1
Nantes
Oyongo (6')
Souquet (31'), Delort (55'), Le Tallec (59'), Ferri (73'), Congre (75')
Louza (51')
May 16, 2020 7pm
Montpellier
P-P
Nantes
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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