Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
Nantes2 - 2Ajaccio
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Nantes
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 4-2 Strasbourg
Saturday, November 5 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, November 5 at 4pm in Ligue 1
We said: Nantes 2-1 Ajaccio
Following their impressive win last weekend, we are expecting Ajaccio to come into this one with confidence and to at least get on the scoresheet in an important relegation battle. Nonetheless, given they have suffered just one defeat at home this season, Nantes should have too much for their newly-promoted visitors as they record just their third win of the season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Ajaccio |
39.61% ( 0.02) | 28.16% ( -0.02) | 32.22% |
| Both teams to score 46.83% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.77% ( 0.06) | 59.23% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.35% ( 0.05) | 79.65% ( -0.04) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( 0.04) | 29.17% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.89% ( 0.05) | 65.11% ( -0.05) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.11% ( 0.03) | 33.89% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.44% ( 0.04) | 70.56% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Nantes 39.61%
Ajaccio 32.22%
Draw 28.16%
| Nantes | Draw | Ajaccio |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 39.61% | 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.22% |
How you voted: Nantes vs Ajaccio
Nantes
76.6%Draw
17.0%Ajaccio
6.4%47
