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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
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Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau
AC Ajaccio

Nantes
2 - 2
Ajaccio

Blas (70'), Simon (89')
Blas (37'), Castelletto (45+1'), Girotto (62'), Kombouare (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Belaili (57' pen.), Hamouma (66')
Kone (35'), Nouri (45+1'), Gonzalez (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-0 Nantes
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Ajaccio 4-2 Strasbourg
Saturday, November 5 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 2-1 Ajaccio

Following their impressive win last weekend, we are expecting Ajaccio to come into this one with confidence and to at least get on the scoresheet in an important relegation battle. Nonetheless, given they have suffered just one defeat at home this season, Nantes should have too much for their newly-promoted visitors as they record just their third win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawAjaccio
39.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 28.16% (-0.017999999999997 -0.02) 32.22%
Both teams to score 46.83% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.77% (0.061999999999998 0.06)59.23% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.35% (0.047000000000001 0.05)79.65% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (0.040999999999997 0.04)29.17% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (0.049999999999997 0.05)65.11% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (0.033000000000001 0.03)33.89% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44% (0.036000000000001 0.04)70.56% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 39.61%
    Ajaccio 32.22%
    Draw 28.16%
NantesDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 12.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 39.61%
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.89% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 10.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 32.22%

How you voted: Nantes vs Ajaccio

Nantes
76.6%
Draw
17.0%
Ajaccio
6.4%
47
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2014 7pm
Nantes
2-2
Ajaccio
Gakpe (8'), Djordjevic (75')
Mostefa (5'), Diarra (92')
Faty (45'), Goncalves (62'), Nadeau (77')
Oct 19, 2013 7pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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