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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
AC Ajaccio

Troyes
1 - 1
Ajaccio

Porozo (76')
Balde (18'), Ripart (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
El Idrissy (88')
Kone (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Ajaccio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 3-2 Troyes
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Ajaccio
Saturday, October 8 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 1-2 Ajaccio

Troyes are not playing bad at the moment, but they are looking low on confidence and Ajaccio should have plenty of it after last weekend's win. Not enough to move them above their opponents, but we think L'ours will earn their second consecutive win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 41.99%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
TroyesDrawAjaccio
41.99% (-0.291 -0.29) 29.01% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 29% (0.208 0.21)
Both teams to score 43.4% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.07% (-0.188 -0.19)62.93% (0.189 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.58% (-0.136 -0.14)82.42% (0.13600000000001 0.14)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37% (-0.255 -0.25)29.63% (0.256 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.33% (-0.311 -0.31)65.67% (0.312 0.31)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (0.065999999999995 0.07)38.33% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (0.062000000000001 0.06)75.09% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 41.99%
    Ajaccio 28.99%
    Draw 28.99%
TroyesDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 13.81%
2-0 @ 8.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 41.99%
1-1 @ 13.24% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.35% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 28.99%
0-1 @ 10.88% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.22% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 28.99%

How you voted: Troyes vs Ajaccio

Troyes
51.6%
Draw
22.6%
Ajaccio
25.8%
62
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 2pm
Troyes
1-0
Ajaccio
Touzghar (90+3')

Coutadeur (66'), Kalulu (90')
Oct 31, 2020 6pm
Ajaccio
0-4
Troyes

Keita (89')
Saint-Louis (22'), Touzghar (49'), Baya (63'), Domingues (84')
Domingues (90+3')
May 8, 2020 7pm
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Troyes
2-1
Ajaccio
Kouyate (45'), Tardieu (89' pen.)
Meissa Ba (25'), Souare (80')
Courtet (82')
Tramoni (31'), Cavalli (61'), Bayala (74'), Ismael (87'), Sollacaro (96')
May 17, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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