Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
We said: Lens 1-0 Troyes
Troyes will aim to frustrate Lens, who may have to remain patient in order to gain a narrow victory.
With Lens continuing on an upwards trajectory under Haise, more sides are likely to defend deeper against them, which is something that they must learn to overcome if they wish to remain towards the top of the table.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 64.72% . A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 15.06% .
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.87%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%) , while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (4.67%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.
Result Lens Draw Troyes 64.72% ( 0.18) 20.22% ( -0.09) 15.06% ( -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.88% ( 0.06)
56.13% ( 0.2) 43.87% ( -0.2)
33.74% ( 0.2) 66.25% ( -0.19)
87.2% ( 0.11) 12.8% ( -0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 60.89% ( 0.23) 39.11% ( -0.23)
58.34% ( 0) 41.65% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 21.86% 78.13% ( 0)
Lens 64.71%
Troyes 15.06%
Draw 20.22%
Lens Draw Troyes 2-0 @ 11.26% 1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.16% Total : 64.71% 1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.22% 0-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.06%
How you voted: Lens vs Troyes
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rhs 2.0
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