Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 16.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.