Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.