Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Somerset Park
Ayr0 - 1Falkirk
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Ayr United and Falkirk.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arbroath 2-1 Ayr
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Edinburgh 0-2 Falkirk
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Falkirk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Falkirk |
36.61% ( -3.47) | 25.59% ( -0.01) | 37.8% ( 3.49) |
| Both teams to score 55.67% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
