Dunfermline

3 - 1

Morton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 54.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.