Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
39.11% ( 0.52) | 26.65% ( 0.67) | 34.23% ( -1.19) |
Both teams to score 51.83% ( -2.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.88% ( -2.94) | 53.12% ( 2.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.3% ( -2.55) | 74.69% ( 2.55) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.45% ( -1.07) | 26.54% ( 1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.25% ( -1.44) | 61.75% ( 1.44) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.57% ( -2.15) | 29.43% ( 2.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.57% ( -2.71) | 65.43% ( 2.71) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Airdrieonians |
1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.86) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.11% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.86) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.34) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.28) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |