MX23RW : Friday, December 27 05:35:43| >> :120:9289:9289:
Airdrieonians
Scottish Championship Playoffs | Final | 1st Leg
May 17, 2023 at 7.35pm UK
TBC
Hamilton logo

Airdrieonians
1 - 0
Hamilton

Smith (56')
Smith (52'), Ballantyne (68'), Watson (86')
Watson (90+2')
FT
(aet)

Smith (43'), Shiels (72'), McGowan (90+4')
Airdrieonians win 6-6 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Championship Playoffs clash between Airdrieonians and Hamilton Academical, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions
Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Falkirk 0-1 Airdrieonians
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Hamilton 5-2 Alloa
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs

We say: Airdrieonians 1-1 Hamilton Academical

 Given the manner of their respective semi-final victories, both teams will feel confident of establishing a first-leg advantage. That said, we can only sit on the fence with this one, with Hamilton's extra quality potentially being enough to secure at least a share of the spoils on away territory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 52.61%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawHamilton Academical
52.61% (-0.464 -0.46) 23.18% (0.153 0.15) 24.21% (0.314 0.31)
Both teams to score 56.86% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (-0.37 -0.37)43.66% (0.372 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95% (-0.364 -0.36)66.05% (0.36699999999999 0.37)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.4% (-0.298 -0.3)16.6% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.59% (-0.53899999999999 -0.54)46.41% (0.542 0.54)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.18% (0.063999999999993 0.06)31.82% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.74% (0.07 0.07)68.26% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 52.61%
    Hamilton Academical 24.21%
    Draw 23.18%
AirdrieoniansDrawHamilton Academical
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.52% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.62% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 52.61%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.28% (0.086 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.18%
1-2 @ 6.22% (0.059 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.05% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 24.21%

How you voted: Airdrieonians vs Hamilton

Airdrieonians
51.1%
Draw
33.3%
Hamilton Academical
15.6%
45
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Group Stage
Airdrieonians
2-3
Hamilton
Smith (10'), Roy (24')
Cowan (21'), Gallagher (60')
Cunningham (48' pen., 60'), Ogboe (89')
MacKinnon (30'), McGowan (53'), Cunningham (85')
> Match Report
Jul 28, 2018 3pm
Group Stage
Hamilton
1-1
Airdrieonians
 Hamilton win 3-0 on penalties
Bingham (62')
Pereira (83')
Duffy (55'), O'Neil (61')
rhs 2.0
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