Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 53.42%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Airdrieonians |
23.69% ( -0.4) | 22.88% ( 0.17) | 53.42% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 57.26% ( -1.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.15% ( -1.22) | 42.84% ( 1.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.75% ( -1.22) | 65.25% ( 1.22) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.19% ( -1) | 31.81% ( 1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.75% ( -1.17) | 68.25% ( 1.16) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.97% ( -0.36) | 16.02% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.64% ( -0.65) | 45.36% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Airdrieonians |
2-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.64% Total : 23.69% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 2.74% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.08) 1-5 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.45% Total : 53.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |